Publications

Behavioral Biases in Marketing 

Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science

Katharina Dowling, Daniel Guhl, Daniel Klapper, Martin Spann, Lucas Stich

🗓️ 2020 🔗 doi.org/10.1007/s11747-019-00699-x 

Abstract

Psychology and economics (together known as behavioral economics) are two prominent disciplines underlying many theories in marketing. The extensive marketing literature documents consumers’ nonrational behavior even though behavioral biases might not always be consistently termed or formally described. In this review, we identify and synthesize empirical research on behavioral biases in marketing. We document the key findings according to three classes of deviations (i.e., nonstandard preferences, nonstandard beliefs, and nonstandard decision making) and the four phases of consumer purchase decision making (i.e., need recognition, pre-purchase, purchase, and post-purchase). Our organizing framework allows us to (1) synthesize instructive marketing papers in a concise and meaningful manner and (2) identify connections and differences within and across categories in both dimensions. In our review, we discuss specific implications for management and avenues for future research.

Abstract

Traditionally, choice-based conjoint analysis relies on the assumption of rational decision makers that use all available information. However, several studies suggest that people ignore some information when making choices. In this paper, we build upon recent developments in the choice literature and employ a latent class model that simultaneously allows for attribute non-attendance (ANA) and preference heterogeneity. In addition, we relate visual attention derived from eye tracking to the probability of ANA to test, understand, and validate ANA in a marketing context. In two empirical applications, we find that a) our proposed model fits the data best, b) the majority of respondents indeed ignore some attributes, which has implications for willingness-to-pay estimates, segmentation, and targeting, and c) even though the latent class model identifies ANA well without eye tracking information, our model with visual attention helps to better understand ANA and individual-level behavior.

Working Papers

When Zeros Count: Confounding in Preference Heterogeneity and Attribute Non-Attendance 

CRC Discussion Paper 482

Daniel Guhl, Friederike Paetz

🗓️ 2023 🔗 rationality-and-competition.de/wp-content/uploads/discussion_paper/482.pdf 

Abstract

Identifying consumer heterogeneity is a central topic in marketing. While the main focus has been on developing models and estimation procedures that allow uncovering consumer heterogeneity in preferences, a new stream of literature has focused on models that account for consumers’ heterogeneous attribute information usage. These models acknowledge that consumers may ignore subsets of attributes when making decisions, also commonly termed “attribute nonattendance" (ANA). In this paper, we explore the performance of choice models that explicitly account for ANA across ten different applications, which vary in terms of the choice context, the associated financial risk, and the complexity of the purchase decision. We systematically compare five different models that either neglect ANA and preference heterogeneity, account only for one at a time, or account for both across these applications. First, we showcase that ANA occurs across all ten applications. It prevails even in simple settings and high-stakes decisions.

Second, we contribute by examining the direction and the magnitude of biases in parameters. We find that depending on the true preference distribution, often related to whether the attribute enables horizontal or vertical differentiation of products, neglecting ANA may lead to under or overestimating preference heterogeneity respectively. Lastly, we present how the empirical results translate into managerial implications and provide guidance to practitioners on when these models are beneficial.

Speaking of Sustainability... The triple bottom Line in Firm- and User-Generated Content along the Marketing Funnel

Jonah Blits, Timo Mandler, Alexa Burmester

🗓️ 2024 

Abstract

Sustainability has become a critical concern of many societies across the world. The need for a more sustainable mode of producing and consuming goods and services while balancing related environmental, social, and economic consequences (i.e., the triple bottom line) is evident. Although research offers insights into many aspects of this necessary transformation, little is known about the extent to which firms stress environmental, economic, and social sustainability in their customer-facing communication, and to what extent their customers echo this messaging. This research seeks to answer these questions by studying sustainability-related firm-generated content (FGC) and user-generated content (UGC) along the marketing funnel. Adopting a signaling theory perspective, we investigate how sustainability is communicated on corporate websites, in product descriptions and customer reviews on Amazon, and in influencer reviews on YouTube. Our findings reveal clear divergences in sustainability-related communication within FGC and between FGC and UGC. On the one hand, corporate websites tend to showcase brands’ environmental sustainability, yet this sustainable positioning is not reflected in brands’ product descriptions on Amazon. On the other hand, we observe a strong focus on economic sustainability in UGC across product reviews of customers and influencers, which is in stark contrast to the emphasis on environmental sustainability on corporate websites.

Work in Progress

Lottery Rewards in Incentive-aligned Choice-based Conjoint Studies

Single author

Stage: Designing a follow-up study planned for Nov 2024

Description

The use of incentive alignment mechanisms in choice-based conjoint (CBC) studies has become state-of-the-art. Incentive alignment aims to reduce hypothetical bias, leading to higher external validity and more realistic WTP measures. Lottery rewards are often employed to mitigate high implementation costs, i.e., respondents’ choices are consequential at the realization probability. While in theory, any positive realization probability should induce truth-telling, recent studies find that higher ones lead to more attention to the choice-relevant information and better demand forecasting. This study investigates whether similar patterns hold when the realization probabilities are very low to begin with (e.g., 1% or lower) – a typical case for many studies (e.g., in the case of durable goods). The experimental results suggest that, indeed, the marginal increases in the realization probability matter and result in an improvement of external predictive validity. Furthermore, the role of ambiguity in the way the realization probabilities are communicated to the respondents – as an objective probability, an interval, or as an ambiguous prospect (e.g., one lucky winner) is explored. The findings suggest that respondents seem to penalize for ambiguity in communication. The follow-up study aims to further investigate the role of risk and ambiguity preferences on the effectivness of incentive alignment mechanims and ways of improving it. 

Information Processing Patterns during Choice. The Effect of Complexity and Product Category Involvement on Attribute Non-Attendance

Alaa Elgayar

Stage: Drafting the working paper

Description

This paper examines how choice design complexity and product category involvement influence attribute non-attendance—consumers' tendency to ignore certain product information when making decisions. Findings from three experiments show that increasing choice complexity—both in the number of attributes and alternatives—reduces attribute attendance. Notably, the relationship between the number of alternatives and attendance follows an inverted U-shape, where moderate complexity enhances cognitive effort. Additionally, greater involvement leads to higher attribute attendance, as engaged consumers are less likely to oversimplify choices. These insights shed light on how choice design and consumer engagement affect decision-making across various contexts.

Behavioral and Financial Impacts of Late Cancellation Fees in Subscription Services

Michaela Draganska

Stage: Data analysis

Description

This project, in collaboration with a digital fitness subscription provider, aims to understand mechanisms that help consumers avoid or correct suboptimal subscription decisions and encourage follow-through (i.e., actual exercise). Specifically, the project examines the impact of late cancellation fees on consumer behavior, focusing on usage patterns, churn rates, and the profit implications for the firm.

The Effect of Information Transparency on Consumers' Data Disclosure Behavior: A Meta-Analysis

Maja Adena, Camila Back, Alaa Elgayar, Daniel Guhl, Daniel Klapper, Martin Spann, Lucas Stich, Marius Werz 

Stage: Statistical Analysis

Description

Increasing transparency about how information firms have about consumers is collected, processed and used is often viewed by practitioners, regulators and researchers as an important measure to help customers make more informed decisions regarding the disclosure of personal information. However, evidence for the effect of transparency on disclosure behavior is mixed, both in terms of the magnitude and direction of the effect. To integrate prior findings, we conduct a comprehensive meta-analytic review on the effect of transparency on disclosure behavior. We contribute to our understanding of transparency by distinguishing between two interventions: transparency as an increase in the quantity of information and transparency as an increase in the quality of information. Moreover, we identify several moderators of the effect. Our findings carry implications for practitioners as well as regulators on design aspects of transparency-measures across domains.